Objectives: Scant information is available on factors for predicting the rate of decline in kidney allograft function beyond 1 year posttransplant.
We investigated whether urinary enzymes (alanine aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, aspartate aminotransferase, N-acetyl-β-D-hexosaminidase, and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase) in the late postoperative period can predict the decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate.
Materials and Methods: In 79 kidney allograft recipients 1 to 17 years after kidney transplant, we assessed a value of urinary enzymes single measurement for predicting the slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate, rapid decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (> 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/y), and significant decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (≥ 25% from baseline) during a 2-year period.
Results: At baseline, patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (n = 54) differed from those with estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (n = 25) only in their lower median urinary alanine aminotransferase:creatinine ratio (expressed as U/L:mmol/L): 0.055 versus 0.222 (P = .011). Higher urinary activity of aspartate aminotransferase at baseline predicted the negative-slope value for estimated glomerular filtration rate (beta, −0.279; standard error, 0.131; P = .037) and decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate of > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (odds ratio, 2.06; 95% confidence interval, 1.10-3.83; P = .023) over 2 years. It also predicted the drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥ 25% after 1 year (odds ratio, 2.62; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-6.37; P = .034) and 2 years (odds ratio, 2.75; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-6.73; P =.027). Combined with time after transplant, urinary aspartate aminotransferase had good power for predicting an estimated glomerular filtration rate decrease ≥ 25% after 2 years of follow-up.
Conclusions: Higher urinary activity of aspartate aminotransferase in the late posttransplant period is useful for identifying transplant patients who are at risk for progressive loss of graft function.
Key words : Biomarkers, Glomerular filtration rate, Graft dysfunction, Renal transplantation, Urinary enzymes
Introduction
Kidney transplant confers the highest survival benefit among renal replacement therapies.1 However, at present, despite excellent 1-year kidney allograft (KAG) survival, many patients who receive transplants develop chronic allograft dysfunction; thus, the preservation of allograft function in the late period after transplant has become the main challenge.1 Identification of patients at risk for progressive decline in graft function is a prerequisite for developing strategies for saving graft function and improving graft survival.2,3 However, little information is available on factors that can predict the rate of decline in kidney function beyond the first year after transplant.2,4,5
Percutaneous needle biopsy is considered to be a criterion standard for diagnosing allograft pathology and can provide prognostic information.5,6 However, biopsy is an invasive procedure with some risk of complications, so it cannot be repeated frequently. Consequently, noninvasive biomarkers are needed for kidney transplant patients to better understand pathogenesis of disease, assess immune risk, detect early injuries to the graft, make differential diagnoses, and guide therapeutic decision-making.7,8
It seems logical that urinary biomarkers carry more useful information about the KAG’s state than serum biomarkers, since the urine specimen provides a representative sample of the entire KAG.8 Several urinary biomarkers, including enzymes of tubular origin, denote injury to the appropriate epithelial cells’ compartment. These biomarkers have shown diagnostic and prognostic value in native kidney diseases in clinical and experimental settings.9-14 Thus, such enzymes as N-acetyl-β-D-hexosaminidase (NAG),15-18 γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT),16,19-21 and alkaline phosphatase (AP)19,20 have been proposed for in-depth assessment of the KAG state. However, most published studies on these biomarkers in KAG recipients were limited to the early posttransplant period16,18,20,22,23 and focused on the diagnosis of acute tubular necrosis,16,18,20,22,23 acute graft rejection,16,20,23 or nephrotoxicity.17,23 Only a few studies were dedicated to the problem of chronic graft injury.15,21 Although several papers have described the prognostic significance of urinary enzymes in the KAG setting,15,21 their endpoint was graft failure,21 and the pattern of progression to graft failure was not studied.15 Meanwhile, investigating the association between urinary enzymes and the rate of progression toward graft failure would be of interest, because the rate of decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) might be an early indicator of allograft injury and a strong predictor of graft survival.2,24
In the present study, we tested the hypothesis that measuring urinary enzymes (alanine aminotransferase [ALT], AP, aspartate aminotransferase [AST], GGT, and NAG) in the late posttransplant period could predict decline in GFR during 1- to 2-year follow-up.
Materials and Methods
Study population
During the 4-month study period (September to December 2012), a total of 90
white patients who received a KAG in the Zaporizhzhia transplantation center
between January 1995 and September 2011 and were willing to participate were
recruited. Of these, a total of 79 patients (47 men and 32 women, aged 16-64 y)
who fulfilled the inclusion criteria were enrolled in the study. The inclusion
criteria of the study were the following: an adult KAG recipient, male or
female, with a primary transplant from a related or deceased donor, with
allograft survival of ≥ 1 year and estimated GFR (eGFR) ≥ 15 mL/min/1.73 m2. The
exclusion criteria were receiving regular dialysis, or having acute kidney
injury, diseases of the immune system, solid tumors, or clinical signs of acute
infections.
Induction immunosuppression consisted of anti-interleukin-2 receptor antibodies and was used in recipients who underwent transplant surgery after 2005. All recipients received triple maintenance immunosuppressive therapy consisting of a calcineurin inhibitor (cyclosporine or tacrolimus), an antiproliferative agent (mycophenolate mofetil or azathioprine), and a steroid. All participants gave their written informed consent. This research study was approved by the local ethics committee and carried out in accordance with the ethical standards outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki (2013 version) and the Declaration of Istanbul.
Laboratory methods
Serum was obtained from venous blood taken in the morning from patients in a
fasting condition. Simultaneously, freshly voided morning urine samples were
collected and centrifuged at 3000 rpm for 15 minutes. We measured the serum
concentration of urea and creatinine using the urease and Jaffe methods. Urine
specific gravity was measured with a urinometer. We measured urine protein level
using the pyrogallol red-molybdate method, and urine creatinine concentration
using the Jaffe method. Urinary ALT, AP, AST, and GGT were measured in
supernatants of fresh urine using enzymatic methods. All kits were supplied by
Filisit-Diagnostics (Dnipro, Ukraine). For measuring NAG, aliquots of urine
supernatant were frozen and stored at –40°С. The activity of NAG was measured
using a colorimetric method. When NAG is present in the urine sample, it
hydrolyzes the substrate 4-nitrophenyl-N-acetyl-β-D-glucosaminide
(Sigma-Aldrich, Darmstadt, Germany). This reaction releases p-nitrophenol, which
is measured by spectrophotometry. The absorbance was measured using a
spectrophotometer PD-303UV (Apel Co., Ltd., Saitama, Japan). The resulting
levels of total protein (mg/L) and enzymes (U/L) in the urine spot sample were
normalized to urinary creatinine (mmol/L). We considered 15 mg/mmol to be the
threshold of normalized proteinuria.24 For GFR estimation, we used a 4-variable
equation derived from the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study.25
Risk factors and outcomes
In this study, we assessed the predictive value of a cross-sectional measurement
of urinary ALT, AP, AST, GGT, and NAG. Archival case records and outpatient data
cards were used to obtain more information on major risk factors and evolution
of renal function in allograft recipients. Data were collected on kidney
recipients’ age, sex, and presence of chronic arterial hypertension, which was
defined as a regular intake of antihypertensive drugs. We also obtained
transplant-related information: donor source, type of immunosuppressive regimen,
initial graft function, acute rejection episodes, and time after transplant. At
enrollment, each patient’s arterial pressure was measured in a sitting position
after a 10-minute rest period.
For linear regression analyses, initial allograft function was classified on a scale of 0 to 3 as follows: immediate function (0 points); slow function, ie, serum creatinine reduction < 70 from transplant to day 7 (1 point); delayed function, ie, need for dialysis ≥ 1 time in the first 7 days after transplant (2 points); and delayed function that required > 1 dialysis procedure (3 points). Acute graft rejection was defined as the need for treatment, with or without biopsy confirmation. Patients enrolled in this study were followed up for 2 years until death, return to dialysis, or the study conclusion in December 2014. In the course of follow-up, GFR was estimated annually.
During year 2 of follow-up, a total of 3 patients with a functioning graft died, and 5 grafts failed. For 5 patients who returned to dialysis, eGFR was 10 mL/min/1.73 m2. The annualized change (slope) in eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2/y) over a 2-year period was calculated for each patient, comprising 3 eGFR values, using the linear mixed-effects model with varying intercept and slope. We determined the proportion of patients whose eGFR decreased ≥ 25% from baseline after 1 and 2 years of follow-up and the proportion of patients with rapid decline in eGFR (> 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/y), since both measures indicate progressive loss of kidney function.24 The endpoints of the study were the slope of eGFR, decline in eGFR > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year, and drop in eGFR ≥ 25% from baseline after 1 and 2 years of follow-up.
Statistical analyses
Normally distributed data are expressed as the mean ± standard deviation; the
results were compared using the t test. Continuous nonparametric data are
expressed as the median (interquartile range). For comparison, we used the
Mann-Whitney U test; and the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (ρ) was
calculated. Frequency data are expressed as percentages, and for comparison, we
applied the chi-square test. To identify predictors of the eGFR slope, linear
regression was used. To identify independent predictors of a significant drop in
eGFR after 1 and 2 years of follow-up ≥ 25% from baseline24 and rapid decline in
eGFR of > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year,24 we used univariate logistic regression
analysis. Next we performed multivariate analysis with a backward stepwise
selection method, based on the probability of the likelihood-ratio statistic,
using only those predictive variables that demonstrated individual P values <
.05. We also calculated area under the receiver operating characteristic curves
(AUCs). We did so to assess the ability of each variable considered significant
by simple logistic regression to identify patients with a drop in eGFR ≥ 25%
after 1 and 2 years of follow-up, and patients with rapid decline in eGFR > 5
mL/min/1.73 m2/year, from those who did not meet these criteria. We used
logistic regression models to estimate combinations of urinary enzymes and other
variables of interest and evaluated the discriminatory abilities of the
combinations using the AUCs. For statistical analyses, we used Statistica 7.0
(StatSoft Inc., Tulsa, OK, USA), IBM SPSS Statistics software for Windows
(version 19.0, IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), and MedCalc bvba software (version
14.8.1, MedCalc, Ostend, Belgium). Statistical significance was set at P < .05.
Results
Baseline characteristics of patients
According to the definition of chronic kidney disease,24 we categorized
transplant patients into “normal
GFR” and “low GFR” subsets defined as eGFR
≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. The demographics and clinical
characteristics of patients are listed in Table 1. Most patients received a
kidney from a deceased donor and received cyclosporine-based immunosuppressive
drugs. No significant differences in sex, age, type of immunosuppressive drug
regimen, time after transplant, frequency of impairment of initial graft
function, or acute rejection were observed between the 2 groups. Only 1 patient
had late acute rejection (at 3.5 y), whereas the remaining patients had early
acute rejection episodes (≤ 3 mo posttransplant). The mean arterial pressure and
the percentage of patients regularly receiving antihypertensive therapy were
significantly higher in the low GFR group. The differences between the main
laboratory parameters of graft status (eg, serum creatinine, eGFR, normalized
proteinuria) were highly significant (Table 1).
Urinary enzyme levels and their correlations with clinical variables
Levels of urinary enzymes in the 2 patient cohorts at enrollment are shown in
Table 2. The ALT activity in urine was significantly lower in the low GFR group.
The activities of AST, GGT, AP, and NAG in urine at enrollment were not
significantly different in the compared groups. Table 3 summarizes the
correlations of urinary enzymes with markers of chronic kidney disease at
baseline. As can be seen in Table 3, none of the enzymes correlated
significantly with serum creatinine. Meanwhile, all enzymes demonstrated weak
correlations with normalized proteinuria. In addition, the activity of NAG in
the urine correlated with a history of acute graft rejection (ρ = .311, P =.010)
and with the age of the recipient (ρ = .273, P = .022). The level of proteinuria
correlated with the mean blood pressure (ρ = .488, P < .001) and with episodes
of previous acute graft rejection (ρ = .264, P = .027). Correlations between
urinary enzymes are shown in Table 4. The activity of most enzymes in urine
weakly correlated with each other, except for AST, which did not correlate with
AP and GGT. We observed moderate correlations between AP and GGT, and between AP
and NAG.
The evolution of allograft function and predictive variables
After 1 year of follow-up, mean eGFR did not significantly change in the total
patient population: it fell slightly to 49.2 ± 19.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 from 50.4 ±
19.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline (P = .289). Eight of the patients (15%) from the
low GFR group and 2 of the patients (8%) from the normal GFR group (P = .397)
demonstrated a decline in eGFR ≥ 25% from baseline after 1 year. Eight patients
with significant decrease in GFR (≥ 25%) had chronic allograft dysfunction, but
only in 2 cases was the diagnosis confirmed histologically. Of these, 1 patient
had chronic, active T-cell-mediated rejection, and the second patient had
chronic nephrotoxicity combined with hypertensive nephropathy. In 2 other
patients, we also observed progression of heart failure from New York Heart
Association functional class II to class III, which might have caused worsening
graft function. Six patients (11%) from the low GFR group showed an increase in
eGFR ≥ 25%, whereas such patients were absent in the normal GFR group (P =
.083). The presumed causes of improving graft function were conversion of
immunosuppressive regimens (from cyclosporine to tacrolimus in 2 patients, and
from mycophenolate mofetil to everolimus in 2 patients), effective antibiotic
treatment of urinary tract infection (1 patient), and increase in renal
perfusion after coronary artery bypass (1 patient).
Table 5 details logistic regression analyses of the value of urinary biomarkers and selected laboratory and clinical parameters for predicting eGFR decline by ≥ 25% during 1- and 2-year follow-up. Higher normalized proteinuria and higher urinary activity of AST were individually predictive of decline in eGFR ≥ 25% after 1 year of follow-up, whereas only AST retained its predictive value in a multivariate model.
The ability of normalized proteinuria and urinary AST activity to show a drop in eGFR ≥ 25% during follow-up was determined by AUC analysis. As shown in Table 6, urinary AST and normalized proteinuria were both significant predictors of decline in eGFR ≥ 25% after 1 year with fair discriminating ability. The combination of AST and proteinuria did not improve the predictive properties of the model (Table 6).
During year 2 of follow-up, a total of 3 deaths in patients with a functioning graft occurred, and a total of 5 grafts failed. The cause of allograft failure was verified histologically in 3 patients and found to be chronic, active antibody-mediated rejection (1 patient), chronic pyelonephritis (1 patient), and de novo glomerulonephritis (1 patient). After 2 years of follow-up, mean eGFR in the total patient population (n = 76) had significantly decreased to 46.3 ± 20.6 mL/min/1.73 m2 from 50.4 ± 19.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline (P = .002). This decline was also significant compared with eGFR after 1 year (P < .001). Nine patients (18%) from the low GFR group and 3 patients (12%) from the normal GFR group had a decrease in eGFR ≥ 25% compared with baseline (P = .417). We did not observe any new intercurrent events during this period. Only 3 patients (6%) from the low GFR group showed an increase in eGFR ≥ 25% compared with baseline, whereas such patients were absent in the normal GFR group (P = .192).
With respect to graft function after 2 years of follow-up, higher urinary activity of AST and longer time posttransplant were both significantly associated with higher odds ratios of a ≥ 25% eGFR drop (Table 5). Both urinary AST and time posttransplant exhibited fair discriminatory power for predicting eGFR decline ≥ 25% after 2 years of follow-up (Table 6). The combination of urinary AST and time posttransplant yielded an AUC of 0.804, indicating good predictive power for a ≥ 25% eGFR drop after 2 years (Table 6). The AUC of this combined model was higher than the AUC for each predictor alone, but not significantly (P > .05).
The eGFR slope in the overall group of patients was −2.0 ± 5.7 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (median, −2.0 mL/min/1.73 m2/y). In the normal GFR group, the slope was −3.9 ± 6.9 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (median, −3.0 mL/min/1.73 m2/y), which did not significantly differ from the low GFR group: −1.2 ± 4.9 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (median, −1.3 mL/min/1.73 m2/y) (P = .101). Nine patients (17%) in the low GFR group and 6 patients (24%) in the normal GFR group lost GFR at a rate of > 5.0 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (P = .440). Higher urinary activity of AST was the only predictor of a more negative slope for eGFR using linear regression analysis (beta, −0.279; standard error, .131; P = .037). None of the other variables, including eGFR at baseline, correlated with the magnitude of eGFR slope. Higher urinary activity of AST was also the only predictor of rapid decline in eGFR of > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year in logistic regression analysis (OR, 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-3.83; P = .023). Urinary AST demonstrated fair discriminatory power for predicting eGFR decline by > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (AUC, .705; CI, 0.554-0.885; P = .018).
Given the observed performance of AST as a predictive biomarker, patients were divided into quartiles of normalized urinary AST activity at baseline: ≤ 0.060 U/L/mmol/L, 0.061-0.145 U/L/mmol/L, 0.146-0.324 U/L/mmol/L, and ≥ 0.325 U/L/mmol/L. We observed AST activity in the highest quartile in 14 patients (26%) from the low GFR group, and in 5 patients (20%) from the normal GFR subset (P > .05).
Discussion
Identifying patients at risk for progressive decline in KAG function in the late posttransplant period using urinary enzyme tests might enable individualized care without risk of adverse effects when performing testing. The principal finding of our study is the association between urinary levels of AST in the late posttransplant period and subsequent decline in KAG function within a short time frame, irrespective of graft function at baseline. During 2-year follow-up, urinary AST activity predicted with fair accuracy significant decline in eGFR ≥ 25% after 1 and 2 years and rapid decline in eGFR > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. Urinary AST activity also predicted negative-slope values of eGFR. In conjunction with time after transplant, urinary AST had good power for predicting an eGFR drop ≥ 25% after 2 years. To our knowledge, this is the first report about the prognostic significance of urinary AST in the late period after kidney transplant.
Patients were randomized at enrollment into low GFR and normal GFR subsets, according to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes definition.24 The only difference in urinary enzyme activity was lower ALT activity in the low GFR group. Given that tubular epithelium is a main source of urinary enzymes,23 the most likely cause of low urinary ALT activity in these patients was tubular atrophy characteristic of chronic renal allograft dysfunction.26 As discussed by Jung and colleagues,23 patients with a greatly reduced GFR generally show subnormal excretion of enzymes, owing to smaller renal cellular mass. However, although ALT activity correlated poorly with other enzymes, the latter’s activity was not reduced in the group with low GFR, which might indicate the relative preservation of the renal parenchyma. It is also worth considering that different enzymes have demonstrated varying abilities to measure renal dysfunction.23
During 2 years of follow-up, we observed different patterns of changes in allograft function: worsening, stabilization, or even improvement. The evolution of graft function is a complex issue that has been discussed extensively in the literature,2,4,5 including in our previous paper.27 Nevertheless, by the end of this study, the average eGFR in the whole cohort had decreased significantly compared with baseline. Patients in the whole population, as well as in the 2 subgroups, demonstrated a negative average slope of eGFR. Fifteen patients (20%) had rapid decline in eGFR of 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year; in addition, 10 patients (13%) and 12 patients (16%) displayed significant decline in eGFR ≥ 25% from baseline after 1 and 2 years of follow-up.
Although median urinary AST level did not differ significantly between the patient subgroups at enrollment, urinary AST was the only enzyme that predicted the value of the negative slope in eGFR, the significant decline in eGFR ≥ 25% from baseline after 1- and 2-year follow-up, and the rapid decline in eGFR of > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year after 2 years. For each 1-unit increase in urinary AST activity, the odds ratios were 2.62, 2.75, and 2.06 for a significant drop in eGFR after 1 and 2 years and for rapid decline in eGFR for 2 years. Moreover, urinary AST showed a fair discriminatory power for predicting ≥ 25% decline in eGFR after 1 and 2 years and for rapid decline in eGFR during 2-year follow-up. When we studied the distribution of data on AST activity across patient subgroups, we observed that participants in the highest quartile of AST (≥ 0.325 U/L/mmol/L) belonged with equal frequency to the normal and low GFR groups.
Aspartate aminotransferase is a mitochondrial and cytosolic enzyme of epithelial cells predominantly of the distal and, to a lesser extent, of the proximal tubules of the nephron.23 Taking into account that little urinary enzymatic activity derives from the serum,23 higher AST activity in the urine of some patients at enrollment could have been a sign of ongoing deep, irreversible damage to the tubular epithelial cells.28-31 Observed correlations between AST and ALT activity, NAG, and proteinuria confirm this hypothesis. Our findings also confirm data from the literature that enzymuria intensity is generally more likely to indicate kidney pathologic process activity, rather than kidney function.23 Some patients can have both acute and chronic processes under way in their KAG that presumably lead to opposite changes in urinary enzyme activity. Thus, enzymuria can be low, high, or unchanged depending on the ratio of damaged, sclerotic, hypertrophic, or hypermetabolic nephrons.23 Data from the literature also suggest that patients simultaneously displaying acute and chronic changes in their KAG, for example, interstitial infiltrate on a background of fibrosis, have worse subsequent KAG function and morphology.6,26,32,33
Several other reasons can explain the absence of coordinated increase in urinary enzyme activity in patients with low GFR in this study. First, patients with acute tubular injury were excluded from the study. Second, different patients may have had opposite changes in enzyme activity: an increase or a decrease. As long as we demonstrated coordination among brush border membrane enzymes, lysosomal enzymes, mitochondrial enzymes, and cytosolic enzymes, we suppose that among our patients were those with low as well as high urinary enzyme excretion.23 Third, rises in enzyme activity might be smaller in chronic kidney injury than in acute kidney injury.23 Indeed, in some patients, atrophic processes in the KAG might be advanced in the late posttransplant period, as evidenced by a decrease in ALT levels. Thus, apparently some patients had active tubular injury at enrollment (though not reaching the threshold for diagnosis of acute kidney injury), which worsened their prognosis. Although we did not assess threshold AST levels, our results show that elevated urinary AST excretion, even in the absence of decreased renal function, must be taken as a serious sign of graft injury and should guide diagnostic biopsy. To our knowledge, scant published evidence has shown that biomarkers measured during times of clinical quiescence can predict transplant outcomes.34 Our results are in line with the conception of Halloran and associates that progression of KAG dysfunction can be explained only as a consequence of ongoing disease and injury in the graft.35 Presumably, high urinary AST is one of the manifestations of stereotyped active injury–repair response in the graft. As demonstrated by Halloran and colleagues,35 the active injury-repair response in the KAG correlates most strongly with subsequent functional disturbances and progression to graft failure.
The present results have further clinical and theoretical implications. Our findings, along with data from the literature2,4 imply that eGFR alone is not an accurate predictor of kidney graft failure, as we discussed in our earlier paper.27 In this regard, urinary AST, which provides additional information about injuries to the graft, might improve the predictive strength of eGFR. Urinary AST also seems superior to other urinary enzymes for differentiating KAG recipients who subsequently lose KAG function from those who do not. The AST test provides a quick and accurate assessment using a commonly available, cost-effective, colorimetric-based assay, which can be readily implemented in clinical laboratories.9,19 The association of elevated urinary AST with decline in eGFR might have considerable clinical impact, since the latter surrogate marker is directly related to inferior allograft survival rates.2 Finally, urinary AST itself can be a surrogate marker for the progression of KAG dysfunction. In this way, our findings expand on the results of previous studies that looked at predictive variables for a drop in GFR in transplant recipients.
We also identified proteinuria in the late posttransplant period as a predictor of definite ≥ 25% decline in allograft function after 1 year of follow-up and whose negative influence on KAG function and survival is well recognized.5,36-39 However, in our study, the influence of proteinuria was significant only in the univariate model, before adjusting for AST. Thus, urinary AST was superior to nonselected proteinuria for predicting progressive decline in KAG function. In our patients, proteinuria correlated with both history of acute rejection and mean arterial pressure, so it could have had both immunologic and nonimmunologic causes.36-38 Low-grade proteinuria, which we observed in our patients, was associated mostly with interstitial and tubular damage.36,37,40 It is known that proteinuria itself can injure tubular epithelial cells and stimulate them to synthesize chemokines, which contribute to inflammation in the tubulointerstitium.40,41 In turn, interstitial inflammation strongly correlates with reduced allograft survival. The correlations between proteinuria and the full range of tubular enzymes (particularly NAG and AST) point to an association of proteinuria with ongoing injury in the tubulointerstitial compartment of the KAG and lead us to believe that measuring enzymuria enhances the diagnostic significance of proteinuria alone. We can hypothesize that tubular damage induced by proteinuria might manifest as an increase in urinary AST activity, which needs further study. In any case, our results imply that higher urinary AST levels in the late posttransplant period are a surrogate marker for chronic KAG injury.
Longer time posttransplant along with higher urinary AST predicted ≥ 25% decline in eGFR after 2 years of follow-up, which can be attributed to a larger cumulative burden of graft injury over time.35 Regarding the effect of the “transplant era,” as reported by Kasiske and associates,42 the rate of kidney graft function decline has significantly improved in recent years owing to improvements in patient care and treatment strategies. Time posttransplant and urinary AST, when considered separately, had fair power for identifying patients with ≥ 25% decline in eGFR after 2 years. Used in conjunction, these variables further enhanced the quality of patient prognosis and displayed good predictive performance. Thus, when combined with time posttransplant, urinary AST can predict a significant drop in GFR with high sensitivity and specificity.
Our study had several shortcomings. First, it was a single-center study carried out on a small group of white patients and restricted to only 2 years of follow-up. Thus, our conclusions might have only a preliminary character and should be confirmed by a study in a larger cohort representative of the general kidney transplant population. After that, prospective interventional trials could be undertaken to determine whether monitoring strategies based on urinary AST in the late period posttransplant could improve long-term KAG outcomes. Second, we did not measure GFR directly but relied on eGFR using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation, which nonetheless is allowed in the recommendations of recent guidelines.24 Creatinine measurements were not calibrated with respect to a reference laboratory. However, the effect of possible calibration errors would have equally influenced the results of measurements in all patients and therefore cannot explain the observed differences in eGFR values. Third, we could only assume the cause of KAG dysfunction and could not differentiate between glomerular and tubulointerstitial diseases because allograft biopsy was performed in only 5 individual patients. It is therefore possible that combining urinary AST measurement with biopsy results could improve the diagnosis and prediction of kidney transplant pathology in future.
Conclusions
This study demonstrates that a higher urinary level of AST in the late posttransplant period independently predicts decline in KAG function within a short time frame, irrespective of graft functioning at the time of testing. Higher urinary AST activity at baseline independently related to several measures of deterioration in KAG function over 2 years as a negative slope in eGFR and a rapid decline in eGFR of > 5.0 mL/min/1.73 m2/year, as well as decline in eGFR ≥ 25% after 1 and 2 years of follow-up. With respect to its discriminative characteristics, urinary AST predicted with fair accuracy an eGFR drop of ≥ 25% after 1 and 2 years and a decline in eGFR of > 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year over 2 years. When combined with time after transplant, urinary AST has good power for predicting eGFR drop ≥ 25% after 2 years. Thus, higher urinary AST is a risk factor for progression of KAG dysfunction. These observations highlight the potential importance of elevated urinary AST in the late posttransplant period for identifying transplant patients who are at risk for progressive loss of graft function and might benefit from early allograft biopsy and subsequent therapeutic interventions.
References:

Volume : 15
Issue : 3
Pages : 267 - 276
DOI : 10.6002/ect.2016.0081
From the 1Department of Laboratory Diagnostics and General Pathology and the
2Department of Transplantology, Endocrine Surgery and Cardiovascular Surgery,
State Institution “Zaporizhzhia Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education
Ministry of Health of Ukraine,” Zaporizhzhia Regional Hospital, Zaporizhzhia,
Ukraine
Acknowledgements: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest to
declare. This study was supported in part by resources from the State
Institution “Zaporizhzhia Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education Ministry of
Health of Ukraine.”
Corresponding author: Andriy V. Trailin, Department of Laboratory Diagnostics
and General Pathology, State Institution “Zaporizhzhia Medical Academy of
Postgraduate Education Ministry of Health of Ukraine,” 20 Vinter Blvd.,
Zaporizhzhia, 69096, Ukraine
Phone: +380502672333
E-mail: andrei_trailin@ukr.net
Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of the Study Population (N = 79)
Table 2. Activity of Enzymes in Urine of Kidney Allograft Recipients at Enrollment (N = 79)
Table 3. Correlation of Urinary Enzymes with Markers of Chronic Kidney Disease in Allograft Recipients at Enrollment (N = 79)*
Table 4. Internal Correlation Between Urinary Enzymes in Allograft Recipients at Enrollment (N = 79)*
Table 5. Significant Predictors of eGFR Decline ≥ 25% After 1 and 2 Years of Follow-up*
Table 6. Area Under the Curve for Potential Markers of eGFR Decline ≥ 25% After 1 and 2 Years of Follow-up*